mws-lab — Analysis Status

Live view of the analysis: data sources, model diagnostics, and validation checks. All values reflect the state at v1.0.0.

Project Metadata

Projectmws-lab — Water Scarcity in Morocco
Version1.0.0
PhasePhase IV — Published (v1.0.0)
ScopeMultivariate analysis, Morocco water scarcity
EnvironmentPython 3.13, statsmodels 0.14
Indicators5 (WDI indicators)
Model FitR² = 0.812 (n = 16)
Figures7 (framework → OLS)
DomainEarth & Environmental Sciences
⚠ Empirical Data Published (Zenodo + Figshare)

Core Status

✅
Phase IV Published: manuscript · 7 figures · 5 indicators · R² = 0.812
Indicators
5
WDI · World Bank
Figures
7
framework · flow · indicators · matrix · OLS
Sample
16
complete-case window (2004–2019)
κ(X)
78,500
condition number

Data Sources

Five World Bank WDI indicators, plus national indicators from Morocco's 2025 State of the Environment Report.

IndicatorCodeCoverageStatus
Annual freshwater withdrawalsER.H2O.FWTL.K32000–2022PASS
Agricultural land irrigated (%)AG.LND.IRIG.AG.ZS2004–2019PASS
Population growth (annual %)SP.POP.GROW2000–2025PASS
Cereal yield (kg/ha)AG.YLD.CREL.KG2000–2024PASS
Arable land (% of land area)AG.LND.ARBL.ZS2000–2024PASS
Total2000–20255/5

Coverage Progress

Each data source is included in the analysis. No imputation or interpolation.

Withdrawals (2000–2022)
23/23
Irrigated land (2004–2019)
16/16
Population (2000–2025)
26/26
Cereal yield (2000–2024)
25/25
Arable land (2000–2024)
25/25

Validation Checks

5 diagnostic checks executed. All pass at v1.0.0.

CheckDescriptionStatus
OLS specificationR² = 0.812, adjusted = 0.744PASS
Multicollinearityκ(X) ≈ 78,500 (severe)WARN
Pairwise correlationsr = −0.89 (irrigated ↔ population)PASS
Data completenessNo imputation, no interpolationPASS
Causal claimsNone (associational only)PASS

Roadmap

v1.0.0 is published. Subsequent versions are conditional.

PhaseVersionStatusPrecondition
Phase I — Data & Analysis1.0.0Complete—
Phase II — Maintenance1.0.1Not startedv1.0.0 published
Phase III — Extended1.1.0ConditionalNew data available
Phase IV — Confirmatory2.0.0DeferredPre-registered design

Documentation

The manuscript, figures, and documentation are available in the repository and on Zenodo/Figshare.

DocumentLocationStatus
Manuscript (PDF)PUBLICATION/water_scarcity_morocco.pdfComplete
Figures (7)PUBLICATION/figures/Complete
READMEREADME.mdComplete
CHANGELOGCHANGELOG.mdComplete
CITATIONCITATION.cffComplete